The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't Cover
Podcast Mentions

The Signal and the Noise Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

Nate Silver

NEW YORK TIMES Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is...

Podcasts 7
Quotes 15
Freakonomics Radio

It was discussed in the context of prediction and folly, specifically the paperback version of the book was mentioned during a celebration for Nate.

"

And today he is our guest on the latest installment of Frequently Asked Questions in which we compel a noteworthy person to tell us some important truths, such as their favorite sport.

— Episode: 204. Nate Silver Says: “Everyone Is Kind...

Episode: 204. Nate Silver Says: “Everyone Is Kind of Weird”

It was discussed in the context of prediction and folly, specifically the paperback version of the book was mentioned during a celebration for Nate.

"

And today he is our guest on the latest installment of Frequently Asked Questions in which we compel a noteworthy person to tell us some important truths, such as their favorite sport.

He's written an excellent book called The Signal and the Noise, which is essentially about the folly of prediction.

We spoke back in early March when Nate Silver had two things to celebrate, the one year anniversary of 538 on ESPN.com and the paperback publication of his book, The Signal and the Noise.

It's kind of one of the themes of my book.

So when they talk about my book is how when the personal computer became commonplace in the workforce, the 1970s, then in the home in the early 1980s, it took a while before there were any tangible signs of productivity gains in the economy, meaning like 10 or 15 or 20 years even.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Nate Silver's 2012 bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise, made predictions and modeling mainstream.

"

He then took predictions and modeling mainstream with his massive 2012 bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise.

— Episode: Elon Musk Goes All In On Trump, and Pred...

Episode: Elon Musk Goes All In On Trump, and Predicting the...

Nate Silver's 2012 bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise, made predictions and modeling mainstream.

"

He then took predictions and modeling mainstream with his massive 2012 bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise.

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard

Dax noted that Nate Silver's bibliography includes this title as one of his published works.

"

But his books include The Signal and The Noise.

— Episode: Nate Silver (statistician)

Episode: Nate Silver (statistician)

Dax noted that Nate Silver's bibliography includes this title as one of his published works.

"

But his books include The Signal and The Noise.

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

It was mentioned as being a bestseller after Nate Silver's successful prediction of the 2012 election results, demonstrating his popularity at that time.

"

That book was like number one on Amazon after his model called the 2012 election.

— Episode: 4/27/23: Tucker Carlson Breaks Silence,...

Episode: 4/27/23: Tucker Carlson Breaks Silence, Republican...

It was mentioned as being a bestseller after Nate Silver's successful prediction of the 2012 election results, demonstrating his popularity at that time.

"

That book was like number one on Amazon after his model called the 2012 election.

Episode: 4/27/23: Tucker Carlson Breaks Silence, Republican...

It was discussed as being a bestseller after Nate Silver's model correctly predicted the 2012 election, and was mentioned alongside his rise in the media during the early 2010s.

"

That book was like number one on Amazon after his model called the 2012 election.

Episode: 8/19/24 LIVE AT DNC: Biden Humiliated By DNC Lineu...

It was highly recommended by one of the podcast hosts, who was reading it at the time of the podcast recording. The host emphasized that a 47% chance of losing is quite high and something to be afraid of.

"

I'm actually reading Nate's book right now and I highly recommend it.

47 is very high.

Like you should be afraid.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

Nate Silver's book, 'The Signal and the Noise', was mentioned as a New York Times bestseller that he authored.

"

Today we're sharing our interview with Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise.

— Episode: Smart vs. Stupid Risk Taking — with Nate...

Episode: Smart vs. Stupid Risk Taking — with Nate Silver

Nate Silver's book, 'The Signal and the Noise', was mentioned as a New York Times bestseller that he authored.

"

Today we're sharing our interview with Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise.

The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show

Clay Travis mentioned reading and enjoying Nate Silver's book, finding him to be a smart individual, despite his public support for Kamala Harris.

"

Nate Silver had a new book out which I read and enjoyed. I actually don't think Nate Silver is a lib.

— Episode: Hour 2 - Hamas Murders American Hostage

Episode: Hour 2 - Hamas Murders American Hostage

Clay Travis mentioned reading and enjoying Nate Silver's book, finding him to be a smart individual, despite his public support for Kamala Harris.

"

Nate Silver had a new book out which I read and enjoyed. I actually don't think Nate Silver is a lib.

The Daily Stoic

It was described as a great book and was mentioned in relation to the author's expertise in prediction and risk assessment. It was also mentioned to be a New York Times bestseller.

"

His book, The Signal and the Noise, it's also great.

— Episode: How High Risk-Takers Are Shaping Our Wor...

Episode: How High Risk-Takers Are Shaping Our World | Nate...

It was described as a great book and was mentioned in relation to the author's expertise in prediction and risk assessment. It was also mentioned to be a New York Times bestseller.

"

His book, The Signal and the Noise, it's also great.

Note: The book recommendations on this page are discovered automatically from podcast transcripts, and may be incorrect or incomplete.