The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

You know, for all the the the conversation Nassim Taleb sparks online, his book, The Black Swan woke me up to that fact.

I got that from the book The Black Swan. I've told you about it before. The train leaves at 8:15 and you're there at 8:16 you effed up. You're going to collect those opportunities, go and do them, but don't chase the trains.

Renormalization of the institutions when trump became president there was an open effort to take over institutions that had not yet been taken over or radicalized institutions that were already far to the left all it takes is a tipping point a number of people in order to tip an entire institution so tallab in his book he gives the example of you have a vegetarian daughter and your family and there are four members of the family and so the vegetarian daughter can get the entire family to eat vegetarian all she has to do is say i'm not going to eat a meal that is not vegetarian you can eat what you want but i'm only going to eat vegetarian

you think that because some extreme right or left-wing party has say the support of 10 of the population their candidate will get 10 percent of the votes no these baseline voters should be classified as inflexible and will always vote for their faction some of the flexible voters can also vote for that extreme faction

As I wrote in the Black Swan, it's foolish to say what color truck is going to break a fragile bridge. Okay? But it is not foolish to say this bridge is fragile. It's going to break one day. Don't cross it.