Expectations Investing: Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns, Revised and Updated (Heilbrunn Center for Graham & Dodd Investing Series) Cover
Podcast Mentions

Expectations Investing Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns, Revised and Updated (Heilbrunn Center for Graham & Dodd Investing Series)

Michael Mauboussin

Most investment books try to assess the attractiveness of a stock price by estimating the value of the company.

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Acquired

Podcast

Acquired

It was initially released in 2001, shortly after 9/11 and during a tough bear market. It has since been revised in 2021 and explores reverse engineering asset prices to understand market expectations.

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The idea is to say a stock price or it could really be any asset price, a price of an asset, but let's say a stock price reflects a set of expectations about future financial performance.

— Episode: Michael Mauboussin Master Class — Moats,...

Episode: Michael Mauboussin Master Class — Moats, Skill, Lu...

It was initially released in 2001, shortly after 9/11 and during a tough bear market. It has since been revised in 2021 and explores reverse engineering asset prices to understand market expectations.

"

The idea is to say a stock price or it could really be any asset price, a price of an asset, but let's say a stock price reflects a set of expectations about future financial performance.

The second step is to say, let's introduce strategic and financial analysis to judge whether that set of expectations is too optimistic, too pessimistic or about right.

But the core idea is just basically say, what do I have to believe? Is the company going to do what the market believes it's going to do? And then let me make decisions as a consequence.

The book came out September 10th, 2001.

So we put this back together, but I went to Alan said, let's would you like to work on that? And he he agreed. He's now in his late 80s.

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